Estimating impacts of warming temperatures on California's electricity system     

Jayant A. Sathaye  Larry L. Dale  Peter H. Larsen  Gary A. Fitts  Kevin Koy  Sarah M. Lewis  André Frossard Pereira de Lucena 《Global Environmental Change》2013,23(2):499-511

Despite a clear need, little research has been carried out at the regional-level to quantify potential climate-related impacts to electricity production and delivery systems. This paper introduces a bottom-up study of climate change impacts on California's energy infrastructure, including high temperature effects on power plant capacity, transmission lines, substation capacity, and peak electricity demand. End-of-century impacts were projected using the A2 and B1 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emission scenarios. The study quantifies the effect of high ambient temperatures on electricity generation, the capacity of substations and transmission lines, and the demand for peak power for a set of climate scenarios. Based on these scenarios, atmospheric warming and associated peak demand increases would necessitate up to 38% of additional peak generation capacity and up to 31% additional transmission capacity, assuming current infrastructure. These findings, although based on a limited number of scenarios, suggest that additional funding could be put to good use by supporting R&D into next generation cooling equipment technologies, diversifying the power generation mix without compromising the system's operational flexibility, and designing effective demand side management programs.  相似文献   

Estuarine macrobenthos in Calcasieu Lake,Louisiana: Community and trophic structure     

Gary R. Gaston  DeAnna L. Lee  Jeanne C. Nasci 《Estuaries and Coasts》1988,11(3):192-200

Macrobenthic assemblages in Calcasieu Lake estuary (Louisiana) were sampled at 11 sites from October 1983 through November 1985. The sites were numerically dominated by subsurface-deposit feeders, consisting mostly of polychaetes. Greater densities of macrofauna were collected at the northern (upper) stations of the lake than were collected in West Cove or the southern stations. Abundances of polychaetes, oligochaetes, and amphipods at the upper lake stations accounted for most of the differences among stations. The numerical dominance by detritivores (97% of the fauna) and lack of strong sediment or salinity gradients across the estuary, resulted in an absence of temporal pattern in trophic structure of the macrofauna.  相似文献   

Origin of sheet structure, 1. Morphology and boundary conditions     

Gary R. Holzhausen 《Engineering Geology》1989,27(1-4):225-278

Sheet structure, or large-scale exfoliation, is the division of a rock mass into lenses, plates or “sheets” approximately parallel to the earth's surface. Sheet fractures, which separate the plates, are characterized by surface markings resembling those formed during the brittle fracture of metals, glass and ceramics and those on joints in rock. Lineations, or hackle marks, parallel to the direction of fracture propagation, are common. Branching occurs during propagation so that the fractures appear as many echelon segments in profile. The opposing surfaces of sheet fractures observed in quarry walls and natural exposures are typically in contact. Damage, if any, to rock adjacent to sheet fractures is generally limited to a zone less than one centimeter wide. Sheets tend to parallel preferred orientations of microcracks in many rock masses. Most sheets that are exposed today are of prehistoric origin, but in some rock masses, such as Chelmsford granite in Massachusetts, new sheets continue to form.

Sheet structure forms in environments of high differential stress, dominated by large-scale compression parallel to an exposed rock surface. In parts of the Chelmsford granite the magnitude of this compression is greater than 30 MPa in the zone of sheeting. High differential stresses near the ground surface can result from several natural agents, including contemporary tectonic forces, vertical unloading of a rock mass that formed at depth under high triaxial compression, and suppression of expansion that would otherwise result from temperature increases or chemical alteration of the rock. Exfoliation of boulders during forest fires and spheroidal weathering of boulders appears to occur under similar states of stress, although the agents responsible for the stresses differ.  相似文献   

Surface inhomogeneity effects on convective diffusion     

Gary A. Briggs 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1988,45(1-2):117-135

It is suggested that convective scaling, with appropriate extensions, provides the most useful framework for estimating the effects of urban-scale surface inhomogeneities on diffusion in convective conditions. Strong contrasts in surface heat flux exist between cropland, forests, urban areas, and water or marshland surfaces. It is argued that a typical fetch for convective turbulence to readjust to changed heat (or buoyancy) input from the surface below is 2(U/w ^*)h, where U is the mean wind speed in the mixing layer, w ^* is the convective scaling velocity, and h is the mixing depth. In contrast, the fetch required for wind speed to readjust to new underlying surface roughness is of the order (U/u ^*)²h/2, where u ^* is the friction velocity.The ratio w ^*/U is the best index of diffusion rates in moderately to very unstable conditions. General urban effects on heat flux, h, and U are discussed separately, then their combined effects on w ^*/U are estimated. While this ratio can double over a large city during light winds, its increase is much less for small cities, or during moderate winds. Finally, some examples of heat flux in- homogeneities causing stationary convective features are presented. Steady downdrafts associated with these features are of the order of 0.4w ^*, and could significantly increase surface concentrations from elevated sources.On assignment from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.This paper is based on a presentation made at the AMS Specialty Conference on Air Quality Modeling of the Urban Boundary Layer, in Baltimore, late 1983.  相似文献   

Experimental melting of crustal xenoliths from Kilbourne Hole,New Mexico and implications for the contamination and genesis of magmas     

James S. Beard  Richard J. Abitz  Gary E. Lofgren 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1993,115(1):88-102

Experiments (P=6.9 kb; T=900–1000°C) on four crustal xenoliths from Kilbourne Hole demonstrate the varying melting behavior of relatively dry crustal lithologies in the region. Granodioritic gneisses (samples KH-8 and KH-11) yield little melt (<5–25%) by 925°C, but undergo extensive (30–50%) melting between 950 and 1000°C. A dioritic charnockite (KH-9) begins to melt, with the consumption of all modal K-feldspar, by 900°C. It is as fertile a melt source as the granodiorites at lower temperatures, but is outstripped in melt production by the granodiorite gneisses at high temperature, yielding only 26% melt by 1000°C. A pelitic granulite (KH-12) proved to be refractory (confirming earlier predictions based on geochemistry) and did not yield significant melt even at 1000°C. All melts have the composition of metaluminous to slightly peraluminous granites and are unlikely to be individually recognizable as magma contaminants on the basis of major element chemistry. However, the relative stability of K-feldspar during partial melting will produce recognizable signatures in Ba, Eu, K/Ba, and Ba/Rb. Melts of KH-11, which retains substantial K-feldspar throughout the melting interval, are generally low in Ba (<500–800 ppm), have high K/Ba and low Ba/Rb (est.) (62–124 and 1–3, respectively). Melts of KH-9, in which all K-feldspar disappears with the onset of melting, are Ba-rich [2000–2600 ppm, K/Ba=16–22; Ba/Rb (est.) =25–47]. Melts of KH-8 have variable Ba contents; <500 ppm Ba at low temperature but >900 ppm Ba in high-temperature melts coexisting with a K-feldspar-free restite. Although REE were not measured in either feldspar or melt, the high Kspar/melt Kds for Eu suggests that the melts coexisting with K-feldspar will have strong negative Eu anomalies. Isotopic and trace element models for magma contamination need to take into account the melting behavior of isotopic reservoirs. For example, the most radiogenic (and incompatible element-rich) sample examined here (the pelitic granulite,⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr=0.757) is refractory, while samples with far less radiogenic Sr (⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr=0.708-0.732) produced substantial melt. This suggests that, in this area, the isotopic signature of contamination may be more subtle than expected. The experimental results can be used to model the petrogenesis of Oligocene volcanic rocks exposed 150 km to the NW of Kilbourne Hole, in the Black Range in the Mogollon-Datil volcanic field. The experimental results suggest that a crustal melting origin for the Kneeling Nun and Caballo Blanco Tuffs is unlikely, even though such an interpretation is permitted by Sr isotopes. Curstal contamination of a mantle-derived magma best explains the chemical and isotopic characteristics of these tuffs. Both experimental and geochemical data suggest that the rhyolites of Moccasin John Canyon and Diamond Creek could represent direct melts of granodiorite basement similar, but not identical, to the Kilbourne Hole granodiorites, perhaps slightly modified by crystal fractionation. The absence of volcanic rocks having⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr>0.74 in the region is consistent with the refractory character of the pelitic granulite.  相似文献   

DISCUSSION OF "Modeling of Vapor Extraction and General Transport in the Presence of NAPL Mixtures and Nonideal Conditions," by David A. Benson, David Huntley, and Paul C. Johnson     

Gary R. Walter 《Ground water》1994,32(1):146-148

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Fate of Chlorinated Aliphatic Hydrocarbons in the Vadose Zone and Ground Water   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

Gary C. Barbee 《Ground Water Monitoring & Remediation》1994,14(1):129-140

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Reply to the preceding discussion by James M. King of "What You Don''t Find Isn''t There, Or Is It? (or The absence of the proof is not proof of absence)."     

Gary L. Hix 《Ground Water Monitoring & Remediation》1994,14(3):272-274

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The Unifying Role of Aspect Ratio In Cylindrical Models of Mantle Convection With Varying Degrees of Curvature     

Gary T. Jarvis 《Geophysical Journal International》1994,117(2):419-426

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Nutrient enrichments and phytoplankton growth in the surface waters of the Louisiana Bight   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Stephen M. Smith  Gary L. Hitchcock 《Estuaries and Coasts》1994,17(4):740-753

Nitrate concentrations have increased twofold in the Mississippi River during the past three decades. The increased nitrogen loading to the Louisiana shelf has been postulated as a factor leading to eutrophication and the subsequent development of hypoxia west of the Mississippi River delta. While ratios of nitrogen:phosphorus and nitrogen:silica are relatively high in surface waters on the western Louisiana shelf, nitrogen has been posed as the ‘limiting’ nutrient in this region. Bioassays were performed with nutrient additions to surface waters collected from the Louisiana shelf to examine the potential for specific nutrient limitation. Experiments were conducted in March and September 1991, and May 1992. The growth responses of natural and cultured phytoplankton populations were determined by measuring the time course of in vivo and 3-(3,4 dichlorophenyl)-1, 1-dimethylurea (DCMU)-induced fluorescence, as well as initial and final chlorophylla concentrations. The results suggest that phosphate and silicate potentially limit phytoplankton growth during the winter-spring, particularly at low salinities. In late summer, in contrast, nitrogen limitation may be prominent at higher salinities.  相似文献